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Yen, in search of the Taurus!

" The search for the bull
In the pasture of this world, without respite, I pulled back the tall grass in search of the bull. Following unnamed rivers, lost the plot along the paths of distant mountains , languishing my strength, which is off my vitality, I can not find the bull. I only hear for the entire forest, the chirping of locusts night. The bull has never been lost. What need is there to search? Only separation from my true nature prevents me from finding it. In the confusion of the senses I lose even my tracks. Far from home, I see many roads cross, but what is the right one do not know. Greed and fear, good and bad, entangle me. "

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Il primo dei 10 tori sritti da Kakuan ) nel più puro spirito Zen ci fa da apri pista in questa analisi.

Ci eravamo lasciato con queste analisi: una e due!

Avevamo detto 249 come secondo target, e siamo andati ben oltre, il terzo target è" finché sale restiamo dentro", stop loss spostati in guadagno e pace con noi stessi, ora è il momento di cercare il toro dello yen e di non cadere nelle false piste, di non confondere le tracce. Continua Imperterrito il giochino del carry trade, il mondo va bene, l'economia va bene, viaggiamo tutti in macchinoni, tutti on holiday to enjoy the sun and the beach, what a beautiful life, everything will go well. Then one day we'll wake up the poor!


One Yen that more and more removed from reality, leaving behind dead bodies, the bodies of traders who believe too much in need of a healthy economy, a healthy economy, but that will not follow and would not progress, but which employed mainly non permtterebbe enrichment puppeteers, as well as those who run the economy (in the sense that the economy turns to them) they also run the boxes.


So what? And then there is nothing fundamental analysis, as we well know, the whole paper, the fundamental you teach them at university, but then in reality you use them for cartigienica, fundamental ... these strangers. No better use our technical analysis, a pseudo-science that clearly favors the antilog of the financial world. (I understand that many times we turn away from the true fundamental movements, and detecting it by the actual things)


And so on, succession of graphics from our love Pounds Yen , where you grind on top maximum in the absence of gravity.


moving average supports all purple, all right to move for new entries long, always stop loss, because in case of breakage should immediately reverse and make the dynamics underlying target. It 's a precise and reliable media for months that we have the chart for months and that helps us!

Also note the trendline resistance have become dynamic as excellent media to use for other long positions, the previous technique, stop loss and ready to reverse. Remember that any failure on the yen is always violent, so be quick and trailing stop placed so as to follow the trend and avoid falls.

The trend is long, so for now it is best to long positions. It 's true the bull on the yen is much sought after, but patience is the best weapon of a trader (the bull on the yen becomes Bear in the chart above, we do not make confusion I recommend). In the pure spirit of Zen, the yen is moving wave (Hypertrader is called upon to do an analysis elliott), we are still in high tide, so it tends to go up.

The trendline trendline white instead are purely descriptive with projections for the future. Its vision is of a parabolic trend, there is still room to rise, to make new highs, but as we tried to emphasize drawing these lines, is that the trend seems low, in fact our old scenario envisaged months ago about a fix in September / October, is aligning with the scenario parabolic ... so few illusions, but alert, we follow well the cross and the yen, increasing the red zone, and then more and more mandatory stop loss for long positions. As always accompany the trend. The moving average is the most voted red in indicating trends. Below it, then point out the trend as bearish. Now wait for August is expected to have low volumes, so little violent movements, perhaps settling.

overbought oscillators confirm the uptrend. Differences in intraverdersi it Started on CCI and volumes, but must be confirmed graphically.


If we move on a moving average timeframe children are black (300 times) that acts as a support is very important ... under vacuum, then breaking acceleration. But we are more inclined to return the highest.


Here U.S. Dollar / Yen


The cross is visibly diverging from changes in the yen over cousin pounds analyzed. In fact, due to the weakness of the U.S. dollar was not the new high and it has formed a bearish trend that we have tried to sentetizzare through a bearish channel. Too large to be perhaps a flag, volatility is too high to draw a wedge of congestion, so we opted for this bearish channel, immediately caught his eye, and then clearly visible to all.
Of note, seems to form a double minimum, with a return above 121.60 area or so, shows us a retest at the top of the bearish channel path. Sula channel try to play swing, always with stop loss at hand, reminding us that August is always a little 'mischievous and low volumes!

Euro Yen is the cross that shows more strength on the chart, but he lacks respect for his cousin pounds yen a new high, mainly due to the excessive strength of pounds (but not the euro on the other hand jokes, it is very pumped).


Last candle is "eat" the previous sign of weakness, a bearish engulfing. Certainly not cry inversion, but the cross seems inclined to go 166.40 test area and from there maybe start to make new highs. He expects to be confirmed by a break in the moving average gold (SMA 25) to go to 166.40 area. Monday and we expect to lower timeframe to better understand the intention, because for now the cross leaves everything a bit 'outstanding.

The final feeling is that the yen is ending its movement and that the last movements of the yen cross is dictated mostly by movements in the base currency (these are the currencies that are positioned to the left of the bar, then euro / yen, euro is the base currency). We remain faithful to the signals of short bearing in mind the backdrop, we have identified the hot spots, and they are the ones that will give us the signal!

Council of his bloggers to read and more of Intermarket, which by its opininione yen with an excellent and useful analysis:
Carry trade: the Yen moves.

finally remembering to put the stop loss, I leave you with the second Toro:

" Discovering the footprints.
Along the riverbank under the trees, I see footprints! Even under the fragrant grass I see in his footsteps. You will find them in the depths of remote mountains. These tracks stand out clearly visible as your nose pointing skywards. I understand the teaching in the footsteps of the bull. Then I learn that as many utensils are made of one metal, so many are myriad entities made of the fabric of the ego. If I do not discriminate, how can I distinguish the true from the false? Even before he crossed the threshold, I saw the path. "

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Euro Dollar, if salt is not happy!

We have not believed in and we closed positions too early, essentially we have forgotten the simple technique of the three targets, the position where it divides closes in 3 parts and 1 / 3 to reach each target. technique designed for the faint of heart as we used to do intraday, but who likes to exploit too long movements, a technique that allows us to stand with my heart in peace, bringing home the bread slowly. It certainly does not maximize profits, but it's healthier! We closed all the second and third target ...? And the third was almost achieved, we are missing very little!
The flag that we had reported it worked perfectly, the cross had a fracture acceleration of those rare on this cross! A Dollar Euro that looks set to run indefinitely. But we do not believe, prefer to play in the short cross, and follow the step by step, trying to capture the oscillations. What we can not too bad, but we can improve together!


Take the weekly chart and see the destination of the trip. Recall that the trend is long-long (we say since we opened the blog, and said even before), and also the tent of medium / long short is now!
you start to feel "too high", "I begin to buy dollars," but not only among traders! I have friends (normal people, average Italian with some savings) who said they want to buy dollars when the cross comes at 1.4000 (not far from here). Of course I tried to dissuade them from this investment, I have not understood what you are made to influence, probably banks and newspapers. So if banks and newspapers are talking to at least 1.4000 it goes to 1.4500, I say with a smile, but it is not a target rash ... in fact, is a warning ... do not buy dollars now, as long investment. Neither in terms of graphics or the fundamental point of view, the dollar looks set to make major reassessments. Currencies are dangerous, notwithstanding the move again for a "low risk".
said that we continue the analysis of the chart.
We have quite a weekly chart, where we can see that the resistance we accompragna for months is back in the testing phase, is already the third time since we tested is plotted on the graph, and you know, I've gotten spoiled and basically we have the hope (not a trader dovrebbe mai sperare) che funzioni ancora e ci faccia fare un bel rimbalzo. Prima di tutto ricordiamo che le nostre analisi , soprattutto quando le facciamo su timeframe ampi, non vogliono essere di proposito precise, tutte le linee di riferimento tracciate vogliono essere solo segnali di zone calde, dove è possbile avere elementi di svolta. Era questa resistenza il famoso terzo target, ma influenzati dalla nostra idea di "laterale estivo" (risultata fallace), siamo stati poco freddi e non ci abbiamo creduto fino in fondo. Anche questo fa parte del trading, bisognerebbe essere sempre motlo tecnici, speriamo che qualcuno abbia fatto meglio di noi, anche se non ci lamentiamo più di tanto!
Quindi considerando la resistenza, considerando il Commodity Channel Index (which we quote below) that seems to be making a difference, let's start really thinking about a rebound! Another factor to consider is that the latest fluctuations in the figures are 8 cross from minimum to maximum, but now we would be around 6 figures. This obviously weakens the argument of the rebound from these levels.
So to better understand the situation we have to move on shorter timeframe, perhaps looking for some conformation of dispersion.



We took 4 hours, how often do, and where we can find good momentum ee pattern of the various cross. After the flag
bearish / rectangle which we spoke, we are facing a bullish channel, one of those famous canals to break the trend. This is not a pattern written in the books of technical analysis, but thanks to some 'experienced and combinations of other tests we can give a meaning. As usual, we believe technical analysis, but we try to give a figure and so meaning is always different and better suited to the chart, more pragmatically as possible.
This "flag" at the end of a strong upward moves in the same movement of the latter, but with less force. This fact indicates loss of momentum. Another factor that pulled over and through the analysis of the volatility indicator Average True Range, visible below the price chart. The ATR measures the volatility of the graph using mathematical formula, and the classic analysis tells us that more volatility is higher than the trends are subject to sudden and violent reversals. As you can see the average volatility, and has risen a lot. Obviously the analysis of volatility in the timing does not help us, as usual (the eternal problem of traders), this could rise again as a stop going up. In this note we study the volumes, which despite being much higher than the previous days are forming a bearish divergence.
If we join together and then this analysis: loss of momentum, divergence of volumes, high volatility (ie series shifted in favor of reversal), and the resistance (which takes us so) we can come to conclusion (which unfortunately always be disproved) that the trend could be a retracement.
said that we become more pragmatic and more realistic. Although the idea and our bearish sentiment is becoming, we are aware that the analysis made on 4 hours now absolutely not prevent cross to a new high again, because yes, these tests just do not fit at all to the time factor (of which do not take their own), who is also an important part in trading, and do not indicate much less target, true reverse pattern. Then go to break this "flag" with stop loss and trailing stops entered, bearing in mind that this may prove to be greater acceleration with the break to the downside. Target of the break on the upside we set the resistance initially drawn at weekly, after which a second target is not clearly defined in the spirit of letting profits run and take advantage of the continuation of the trend (memory error above), with stop sign the first is moved to break even (to achieve the first target) and then follow any trend. As we target
bearish three targets, and being against underlying trend (which is always bull) we do not use the rule: do you run profits. First target the moving average orange, the second the blue (respectively 25 and 50 periods, moving averages applied to simple closure), the third target 1.3540 (the latter target can be modified to better support the development of corss).
Ultimately we will use the classical technique to breakout (as usual)!

Stop loss to the hand!

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Euro dollar, flag? The Venerable



We are still at the levels of last week, we tested the resistance shown to produce a rebound of small size. volatility and low cross which ended in a sideways trend, which seems to have taken the shape of a bullish flag order. The resistance is very strong, and only one outbreak of volatility may allow a substantial break, points out that just above the previous high abbbiamo a static and a psychological resistance important.
The match still to play, no sign of reversal, which would come just to break the downward flag with confirmed rupture of the blue moving average. Therefore, consider the moving average of the first target of the break flag, I consider that in order to safeguard in the event of a trap. A failure to return the flag it makes the next target in the 1.3450 area, with an eye to breaking volumes of flags, must be strictly upwards compared to the previous ones.
For a break we target 1.3700 on the upside but do not hesitate to close the position at 1.3680!

Always stop the hand, and remember the delicate situation, and then carefully and methodically follow the break!

Period Ended And Started Again Three Days Later

Plot


know that sometimes it is a pleasure to recommend some good books. Always seeks to suggest some books more than anything else useful to understand. So, no novels, the ones you can recommend them to friend or neighbor. Let us at least in this blog to highlight the important things, at least sometimes! There is the television thinking to highlight the futility of things!

What advice today is a book I must say very interesting but at the same time not for everyone, maybe even a little 'heavy, not because it is misspelled, but prorpio to the subject. above all for young people, to expose the intricacies of the Italian politician passed.

The book in question is distributed by Editions Lindau, which always offers interesting books and "other", please click on the title to learn more!

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"New P2, politics divides
Parisi:" Toxic baseless "

ROME - The return of a new P2 market policy Visco-Special behind the affair, the plot is crossed in the dark events that have marked the past few months Earthquakes, Guardia di Finanza Security and Telecom, in short, the reconstruction offered yesterday by the "Republic" open a debate in front of Parliament .

[...] The reactions are recorded in the nerve center, a ghost and no longer the bogeyman of the P2 , supports those who took the floor . For the coordinator forzista Sandro Bondi, "rather than acknowledge the reality of a reckless act the Deputy Minister Visco, the left and his newspaper took refuge in science fiction by inventing imaginary monsters made of semi-clandestine devices and dusting off the alleged ghost of the P2 lodge "

[...] Cautious, very cautious on DS Luciano Violante. He says: "I'm used to judge what I see, there is talk of dark powers and dark powers are not seen." But the picture, by contrast, is serious and should be considered, according to others on the left . The PRC secretary Franco Giordano argues that "there is actually a web of reality and the powers that be strongly defended by the right." As well as the leader and minister Pecoraro Scanio Green believes that "things that are written are disturbing and if you are not able to disprove it, the situation is worthy of assistance from the chairmen of the House and Senate." "
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GIORGIO GALLI
THE PLOT VENERABLE
THE TRUE STORY OF P2 Licio Gelli

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" Twenty years later, in the Cold War ended, the left and right converge again in preference to a serious accountability, national and collective, download it now in the historical site, on other (Member U.S.) or on specific institutions and sector (services secrets, Freemasonry) the responsibility of the poor functioning of a political system (the so-called First Republic) in which party leaders have consistently misinterpreted and misapplied the pronouncements of the electorate.

Personally I have always tried to combine the study of the roles of political science that occult powers analysis does not result in a permanent conspiracy. The following pages are the continuation of this work. "Giorgio Galli

S ccording Galli, from its rebirth after the war, Freemasonry did not count anything in Italian politics, the less ambitions grew coup. The P2 seems to be no exception, if only for the presence among its ranks many of the elite representatives of industrial, financial, military and so on. But, in addition to many fanciful hypotheses never proved, and the P2 Licio Gelli, wonders Galli, are really the fault of the explanation of almost every national past? Really Gelli had the decisive role attributed to it? And there is evidence for this, if not conclusive, at least solid and reasonable? His analysis of political scientists and esotericism, all the facts, evidence, documents that the author collects, seem to demolish the myth of black Gelli, puppeteer hidden in the Republic, and P2 as a group of power left. If anything, it is clear that it acted as a lobby group concerned to defend the international position of Italy and its socio-economic system, taking away the Communist Party from power.

Giorgio Galli he was Professor of History of Political Thought at the University of Milan. Among his many works include: The decade Moro-Berlinguer. A re-reading current (2006); Enrico Mattei: Oil and conspiracy Italian (2005); Hitler and Nazism Magic (2005); Lead red. The complete history of popular struggle in Italy since 1970 (2005); The Italian political parties, (2004). Published by Edizioni Lindau The magic and power (2004).

How Much Olive Oil Should A Man Have

Linux, just windows!


Many will have heard of Linux, the operating system open source and free, because linux existed since 1991 (designed by Linus Torvalds), in short is not the latest operating system arrived.
So many people live in the preconception that Linux is difficle to use or you can not do all that is possbile to do with windows. In fact for many years is no longer so. Linux has become much more "user friendly" to windows, e su molti concetti più all'avanguardia!

Oltre ad essere gratuito, esiste tutto un set di programmi base gratuite che sostituiscono in tutto e per tutto i vari office, winamp, windows media player, internet explorer. ovviamente anch'essi gratuiti e aggiornati di coninuo.

Nessuno problema di compatibilità con le periferiche del computer, linux riconosce automaticamente qualsiasi periferiche, e comunque se la periferica non è riconosciuta sicuramente in pochi giorni uscirà un aggiornamento. L'installazione è semplicissima, anzi linux (in molte delle sue distro o distribuzioni) vi permette di esplorare e di usare il suo sistema operativo senza doverlo installare, basta infatti inserire il cd all'avvio computer and your Linux distribution will start in live mode. So you can try it without the commitment and make sure your linux of its simplicity and goodness

What makes Linux better than windows gratuicità the product (no small feat)?

Linux does not have bugs, hardly lead to fatal errors typical of those windows, it is safer and there are no viruses (or almost) that might damage.
The graphical interface is very simple, you have to arrangements which the famous multidesktop or more semi-independent desktop is very useful for those who work with several windows open (such as traders, always full of graphics that pop up from everywhere), in fact, thanks al multidesktop potrete disporle ognuna per ogni desktop e ritrovarle quindi con semplicità

Con semplici passagi potrete installare il desktop 3d (sempre gratuito), dove oltre a tanti effetti grafici di puro abbellimento troveremo molte funzioni utili, come l'autodisposizionamento delle finestre aperte (per fare un esempio).

Non riuscite a fare qualcosa? Non c'é problema in internet è pieno di comunità dove trovere guide semplici e forum disponibili a risolvere il vostro problema.

E se proprio vi serve quel programma che su linux non va, nessun problema potete installare l'emulatore di windows. Ah, non vi preoccupate di msn messenger, programmi di posta, skype, su linux c'é tutto e di more!

Also if you do not want to change all of a sudden you know that Linux operating system runs quietly side by side with windows (in stsso computer), when the computer simply choose the operating system you prefer, so you can go step by step!

What distro to choose?
I personally use Ubuntu, perhaps the most user friendly distro of the moment, with a great community behind it.
you can download or send by mail in a totally free cd from the official site: www.ubuntu-it.org/

on the same website you will get all the support nencessario.
Also be sure to visit the blog, where you will always find notizie e nozioni interessanti per poter personalizzare (grande caratteristica di linux) il vostro sistema operativo al meglio!

qualeche blog:
divilinux.wordpress.com/
tuxmax.blogspot.com/

e qua qualche video sulle potenzialità di linux:





ubuntu vs windows vista:

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Euro dollar, new highs?


Riprendiamo l'analisi di euro dollaro.
Rotto definitivamente il canale ribassista che ci aveva accompagnato per settimane, come avevamo scritto, sarebbe started an upward trend with a break of 1.3500 area. The movement was very strong, and this honestly did not expect, even if the volumes are declining, the cross was able to rise strongly.

In previous posts we had traced a bearish fuchsia trnedline dynamic passing through the highest recent (and historical) and parallel to other bearish trendline drawn in the past months. We are right next to this resistance, as well as maximum, and might try to catch a bounce from these levels. It 's a risky test because for now there are no signs of weakness, and the operation is completely against the trend. So for those who risk voelsse the stop loss is d'obbligo per non ritrovarsi ingabbiato nella continuazione di questo movuimento molto forte, forse anche un po' troppo forte.

Rimane l'idea di un laterale estivo proprio compreso tra queste trendline fucsia, ma appunto è solo una nostra idea scaturita da sensazione e non da anlisi, quindi da prendere con le pinze. se si dovesse mostrare valida vorrebbe dire che abbiamo avuto solo fortuna!

Qualcuno già indica area 1.400 come target, area non poi così lontana, ma noi sinceramente non crediamo a movimenti così diretti in questo cross, e quindi cerchiamo data la sensibilità dell'area di spostarci in timeframe più piccoli per capire lamdirezione o piuttosto ricavare spunti operativi.

Nelle ore night-time cross was lateralized, without retracing anything, the best thing in these cases and work on the breakout of the rectangle of lateralization. Working in trailing and closing the position if the cross were to break the rettangoloe quickly return to it: thus forming a trap. For multiday quindirimandiamo

operations in clearer signals. Of course, the breaking of the maximum could lead to a further extension, although we expect a first discesina, in fact, the cross should be a "flight" to romprere resistance so important.

stop loss in the hand and a lot of attention in these phases.