Tracking Cervical Mucus Twice

€ Dollar, Yellow Flag.

Prima di tutto mi vorrei scusare con tutti i lettori, purtroppo non riesco a liberarmi dagli impegni, che anzi continuano ad aumentare. Mi scuso anche per le mancate o ritardatarie risposte alle mail ma veramente ho persino poco tempo per dormire....insomma un periodaccio, speriamo passi presto. In questo frangente di tempo domenicale cerco di tenervi compagnia ed esprimere le mie opinioni sul mondo valutario, che come il resto dei mercati è molto pericoloso in queste fasi!

Questo Cross di laterali non ne vuole parlare, e noi ci prendiamo i nostri begli stop, e guardiamo il cross andare versi nuovi massimi.
Settimana importantissima, I movimenti ribassisti del dollaro hanno scontato la decisione del ribasso tassi d'interesse da parte degli stati Uniti, ma le parole di Greenspan sono come al solito contraddittorie. A riguardo sempre ottimi gli articoli di Spallino non posso aggiungere niente di nuovo o di meglio alle sue considerazioni.
Settimana che potrebbe essere contrassegnata dalla volatilità e da movimenti "strani" grazie anche alle 3 streghe.
Come ho già detto nell'ultimo post preferisco adottare operatività breve e brevissima in questi periodi ad alto rischio, riducendo drasticamente la mole di operazioni (questo anche a causa di impegni di vario genere che mi tengono lontani dai emrcati).

Passando un po' ad analisi tecnica che ci aiuta ad interpretare i movimenti dei mercati, quella che mi salta subito all'occhio, e che probabilmente è saltata all'occhio al 99% dei trader è la bandiera ( o meglio Falling wedge) rialzista ben visibile sull'orario.
Sembrerebbe quindi ancora possibile un balzo verso l'alto. Operiamo al breakout della figura prestando la massima attenzione durante le conferenze di GreensSpan di lunedì mattina e martedì, e ancora più in particolare alla decisione dei tassi d'interesse.

Buon Trading.

Good Nipples For A 2 Month Old

Dollar Euro Style Snake

Chi non muore si rivede qualcuno mi dirà!

Si piccola pausa estiva, parzialmente dai mercati, e totalmente dal blog, il caldo e l'afa e impegni di varia natura mi hanno tenuto lontano da queste amate pagine. Un'estate di terrore nei mercati finanziari, ma poiché il mercato non ci ha ucciso ne siamo usciti più forti, ed è arrivato il momento di consolidare...sì per le valute!

Elliot paragonava i movimenti boristici alle maree io li paragono ai serpenti, viscidi e bastardi! ( per queste parole sarò costretto a fare una donazione cospicua al WWF )

Partiamo subito in casa con una visione giornaliera di Euro dollaro.
Abbiamo testato il supporto dell'oramai noto canale rialzista da mesi promosso, ne abbiamo parlato talmente tanto che ci siamo persino stufati, ma non solo noi...è tempo di cambiare aria, i movimenti del serpente hanno aumentato la frequenza e sono sempre di ampiezza minore, sembra quasi si voglia arrotolare su se stesso per poi fare l'ultimo balzo.



What do I mean?

right to take the daily chart timeframe, the first thing I want to point out are the minimum and maximum, minimum and maximum closer to each other both temporally and in terms of movement and size. This means slowing down, which indicates laterality, and in fact after the jolt in the markets it is natural to go through a period of uncertainty and adjustment ... so we take seriously a long period of laterality of the cross. Also confirmed in the oscillators, we see just as the CCI is forming also decreasing the maximum and minimum growing, forming a cone.

volatility begins to decline and this also confirms the expectations of laterality! A side that could be between the upper trendline fuchsia and red through the static for the last minimum. What does this mean? means that we should not amaze a possible rupture of the famous uplink channel.

said that we believe you should leave the operation of short / medium term and move a timeframe and then make intraday and multiday operation of short (4-5 days maximum). Some would say ... but if you think there will be a period side who simply do not go against the identified strengths and supprt.

First we think that there will be a period of laterality, the scenario is not yet well defined, there are good conditions, but like any analysis may be wrong. So we prefer to keep our habits and take advantage of the trend follower small trend identified in the lower timeframe, we may make transactions in the contrarian at a time when we will see that there appears to be exploitable and with low risk.

In the next post we will try to identify and then, again weather permitting, exploitable situations for short-term operations.

Stay tuned, the Forex is back!

Wakeonlan Wireless Pci

Yen, in search of the Taurus!

" The search for the bull
In the pasture of this world, without respite, I pulled back the tall grass in search of the bull. Following unnamed rivers, lost the plot along the paths of distant mountains , languishing my strength, which is off my vitality, I can not find the bull. I only hear for the entire forest, the chirping of locusts night. The bull has never been lost. What need is there to search? Only separation from my true nature prevents me from finding it. In the confusion of the senses I lose even my tracks. Far from home, I see many roads cross, but what is the right one do not know. Greed and fear, good and bad, entangle me. "

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Il primo dei 10 tori sritti da Kakuan ) nel più puro spirito Zen ci fa da apri pista in questa analisi.

Ci eravamo lasciato con queste analisi: una e due!

Avevamo detto 249 come secondo target, e siamo andati ben oltre, il terzo target è" finché sale restiamo dentro", stop loss spostati in guadagno e pace con noi stessi, ora è il momento di cercare il toro dello yen e di non cadere nelle false piste, di non confondere le tracce. Continua Imperterrito il giochino del carry trade, il mondo va bene, l'economia va bene, viaggiamo tutti in macchinoni, tutti on holiday to enjoy the sun and the beach, what a beautiful life, everything will go well. Then one day we'll wake up the poor!


One Yen that more and more removed from reality, leaving behind dead bodies, the bodies of traders who believe too much in need of a healthy economy, a healthy economy, but that will not follow and would not progress, but which employed mainly non permtterebbe enrichment puppeteers, as well as those who run the economy (in the sense that the economy turns to them) they also run the boxes.


So what? And then there is nothing fundamental analysis, as we well know, the whole paper, the fundamental you teach them at university, but then in reality you use them for cartigienica, fundamental ... these strangers. No better use our technical analysis, a pseudo-science that clearly favors the antilog of the financial world. (I understand that many times we turn away from the true fundamental movements, and detecting it by the actual things)


And so on, succession of graphics from our love Pounds Yen , where you grind on top maximum in the absence of gravity.


moving average supports all purple, all right to move for new entries long, always stop loss, because in case of breakage should immediately reverse and make the dynamics underlying target. It 's a precise and reliable media for months that we have the chart for months and that helps us!

Also note the trendline resistance have become dynamic as excellent media to use for other long positions, the previous technique, stop loss and ready to reverse. Remember that any failure on the yen is always violent, so be quick and trailing stop placed so as to follow the trend and avoid falls.

The trend is long, so for now it is best to long positions. It 's true the bull on the yen is much sought after, but patience is the best weapon of a trader (the bull on the yen becomes Bear in the chart above, we do not make confusion I recommend). In the pure spirit of Zen, the yen is moving wave (Hypertrader is called upon to do an analysis elliott), we are still in high tide, so it tends to go up.

The trendline trendline white instead are purely descriptive with projections for the future. Its vision is of a parabolic trend, there is still room to rise, to make new highs, but as we tried to emphasize drawing these lines, is that the trend seems low, in fact our old scenario envisaged months ago about a fix in September / October, is aligning with the scenario parabolic ... so few illusions, but alert, we follow well the cross and the yen, increasing the red zone, and then more and more mandatory stop loss for long positions. As always accompany the trend. The moving average is the most voted red in indicating trends. Below it, then point out the trend as bearish. Now wait for August is expected to have low volumes, so little violent movements, perhaps settling.

overbought oscillators confirm the uptrend. Differences in intraverdersi it Started on CCI and volumes, but must be confirmed graphically.


If we move on a moving average timeframe children are black (300 times) that acts as a support is very important ... under vacuum, then breaking acceleration. But we are more inclined to return the highest.


Here U.S. Dollar / Yen


The cross is visibly diverging from changes in the yen over cousin pounds analyzed. In fact, due to the weakness of the U.S. dollar was not the new high and it has formed a bearish trend that we have tried to sentetizzare through a bearish channel. Too large to be perhaps a flag, volatility is too high to draw a wedge of congestion, so we opted for this bearish channel, immediately caught his eye, and then clearly visible to all.
Of note, seems to form a double minimum, with a return above 121.60 area or so, shows us a retest at the top of the bearish channel path. Sula channel try to play swing, always with stop loss at hand, reminding us that August is always a little 'mischievous and low volumes!

Euro Yen is the cross that shows more strength on the chart, but he lacks respect for his cousin pounds yen a new high, mainly due to the excessive strength of pounds (but not the euro on the other hand jokes, it is very pumped).


Last candle is "eat" the previous sign of weakness, a bearish engulfing. Certainly not cry inversion, but the cross seems inclined to go 166.40 test area and from there maybe start to make new highs. He expects to be confirmed by a break in the moving average gold (SMA 25) to go to 166.40 area. Monday and we expect to lower timeframe to better understand the intention, because for now the cross leaves everything a bit 'outstanding.

The final feeling is that the yen is ending its movement and that the last movements of the yen cross is dictated mostly by movements in the base currency (these are the currencies that are positioned to the left of the bar, then euro / yen, euro is the base currency). We remain faithful to the signals of short bearing in mind the backdrop, we have identified the hot spots, and they are the ones that will give us the signal!

Council of his bloggers to read and more of Intermarket, which by its opininione yen with an excellent and useful analysis:
Carry trade: the Yen moves.

finally remembering to put the stop loss, I leave you with the second Toro:

" Discovering the footprints.
Along the riverbank under the trees, I see footprints! Even under the fragrant grass I see in his footsteps. You will find them in the depths of remote mountains. These tracks stand out clearly visible as your nose pointing skywards. I understand the teaching in the footsteps of the bull. Then I learn that as many utensils are made of one metal, so many are myriad entities made of the fabric of the ego. If I do not discriminate, how can I distinguish the true from the false? Even before he crossed the threshold, I saw the path. "

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Euro Dollar, if salt is not happy!

We have not believed in and we closed positions too early, essentially we have forgotten the simple technique of the three targets, the position where it divides closes in 3 parts and 1 / 3 to reach each target. technique designed for the faint of heart as we used to do intraday, but who likes to exploit too long movements, a technique that allows us to stand with my heart in peace, bringing home the bread slowly. It certainly does not maximize profits, but it's healthier! We closed all the second and third target ...? And the third was almost achieved, we are missing very little!
The flag that we had reported it worked perfectly, the cross had a fracture acceleration of those rare on this cross! A Dollar Euro that looks set to run indefinitely. But we do not believe, prefer to play in the short cross, and follow the step by step, trying to capture the oscillations. What we can not too bad, but we can improve together!


Take the weekly chart and see the destination of the trip. Recall that the trend is long-long (we say since we opened the blog, and said even before), and also the tent of medium / long short is now!
you start to feel "too high", "I begin to buy dollars," but not only among traders! I have friends (normal people, average Italian with some savings) who said they want to buy dollars when the cross comes at 1.4000 (not far from here). Of course I tried to dissuade them from this investment, I have not understood what you are made to influence, probably banks and newspapers. So if banks and newspapers are talking to at least 1.4000 it goes to 1.4500, I say with a smile, but it is not a target rash ... in fact, is a warning ... do not buy dollars now, as long investment. Neither in terms of graphics or the fundamental point of view, the dollar looks set to make major reassessments. Currencies are dangerous, notwithstanding the move again for a "low risk".
said that we continue the analysis of the chart.
We have quite a weekly chart, where we can see that the resistance we accompragna for months is back in the testing phase, is already the third time since we tested is plotted on the graph, and you know, I've gotten spoiled and basically we have the hope (not a trader dovrebbe mai sperare) che funzioni ancora e ci faccia fare un bel rimbalzo. Prima di tutto ricordiamo che le nostre analisi , soprattutto quando le facciamo su timeframe ampi, non vogliono essere di proposito precise, tutte le linee di riferimento tracciate vogliono essere solo segnali di zone calde, dove è possbile avere elementi di svolta. Era questa resistenza il famoso terzo target, ma influenzati dalla nostra idea di "laterale estivo" (risultata fallace), siamo stati poco freddi e non ci abbiamo creduto fino in fondo. Anche questo fa parte del trading, bisognerebbe essere sempre motlo tecnici, speriamo che qualcuno abbia fatto meglio di noi, anche se non ci lamentiamo più di tanto!
Quindi considerando la resistenza, considerando il Commodity Channel Index (which we quote below) that seems to be making a difference, let's start really thinking about a rebound! Another factor to consider is that the latest fluctuations in the figures are 8 cross from minimum to maximum, but now we would be around 6 figures. This obviously weakens the argument of the rebound from these levels.
So to better understand the situation we have to move on shorter timeframe, perhaps looking for some conformation of dispersion.



We took 4 hours, how often do, and where we can find good momentum ee pattern of the various cross. After the flag
bearish / rectangle which we spoke, we are facing a bullish channel, one of those famous canals to break the trend. This is not a pattern written in the books of technical analysis, but thanks to some 'experienced and combinations of other tests we can give a meaning. As usual, we believe technical analysis, but we try to give a figure and so meaning is always different and better suited to the chart, more pragmatically as possible.
This "flag" at the end of a strong upward moves in the same movement of the latter, but with less force. This fact indicates loss of momentum. Another factor that pulled over and through the analysis of the volatility indicator Average True Range, visible below the price chart. The ATR measures the volatility of the graph using mathematical formula, and the classic analysis tells us that more volatility is higher than the trends are subject to sudden and violent reversals. As you can see the average volatility, and has risen a lot. Obviously the analysis of volatility in the timing does not help us, as usual (the eternal problem of traders), this could rise again as a stop going up. In this note we study the volumes, which despite being much higher than the previous days are forming a bearish divergence.
If we join together and then this analysis: loss of momentum, divergence of volumes, high volatility (ie series shifted in favor of reversal), and the resistance (which takes us so) we can come to conclusion (which unfortunately always be disproved) that the trend could be a retracement.
said that we become more pragmatic and more realistic. Although the idea and our bearish sentiment is becoming, we are aware that the analysis made on 4 hours now absolutely not prevent cross to a new high again, because yes, these tests just do not fit at all to the time factor (of which do not take their own), who is also an important part in trading, and do not indicate much less target, true reverse pattern. Then go to break this "flag" with stop loss and trailing stops entered, bearing in mind that this may prove to be greater acceleration with the break to the downside. Target of the break on the upside we set the resistance initially drawn at weekly, after which a second target is not clearly defined in the spirit of letting profits run and take advantage of the continuation of the trend (memory error above), with stop sign the first is moved to break even (to achieve the first target) and then follow any trend. As we target
bearish three targets, and being against underlying trend (which is always bull) we do not use the rule: do you run profits. First target the moving average orange, the second the blue (respectively 25 and 50 periods, moving averages applied to simple closure), the third target 1.3540 (the latter target can be modified to better support the development of corss).
Ultimately we will use the classical technique to breakout (as usual)!

Stop loss to the hand!

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Euro dollar, flag? The Venerable



We are still at the levels of last week, we tested the resistance shown to produce a rebound of small size. volatility and low cross which ended in a sideways trend, which seems to have taken the shape of a bullish flag order. The resistance is very strong, and only one outbreak of volatility may allow a substantial break, points out that just above the previous high abbbiamo a static and a psychological resistance important.
The match still to play, no sign of reversal, which would come just to break the downward flag with confirmed rupture of the blue moving average. Therefore, consider the moving average of the first target of the break flag, I consider that in order to safeguard in the event of a trap. A failure to return the flag it makes the next target in the 1.3450 area, with an eye to breaking volumes of flags, must be strictly upwards compared to the previous ones.
For a break we target 1.3700 on the upside but do not hesitate to close the position at 1.3680!

Always stop the hand, and remember the delicate situation, and then carefully and methodically follow the break!

Period Ended And Started Again Three Days Later

Plot


know that sometimes it is a pleasure to recommend some good books. Always seeks to suggest some books more than anything else useful to understand. So, no novels, the ones you can recommend them to friend or neighbor. Let us at least in this blog to highlight the important things, at least sometimes! There is the television thinking to highlight the futility of things!

What advice today is a book I must say very interesting but at the same time not for everyone, maybe even a little 'heavy, not because it is misspelled, but prorpio to the subject. above all for young people, to expose the intricacies of the Italian politician passed.

The book in question is distributed by Editions Lindau, which always offers interesting books and "other", please click on the title to learn more!

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"New P2, politics divides
Parisi:" Toxic baseless "

ROME - The return of a new P2 market policy Visco-Special behind the affair, the plot is crossed in the dark events that have marked the past few months Earthquakes, Guardia di Finanza Security and Telecom, in short, the reconstruction offered yesterday by the "Republic" open a debate in front of Parliament .

[...] The reactions are recorded in the nerve center, a ghost and no longer the bogeyman of the P2 , supports those who took the floor . For the coordinator forzista Sandro Bondi, "rather than acknowledge the reality of a reckless act the Deputy Minister Visco, the left and his newspaper took refuge in science fiction by inventing imaginary monsters made of semi-clandestine devices and dusting off the alleged ghost of the P2 lodge "

[...] Cautious, very cautious on DS Luciano Violante. He says: "I'm used to judge what I see, there is talk of dark powers and dark powers are not seen." But the picture, by contrast, is serious and should be considered, according to others on the left . The PRC secretary Franco Giordano argues that "there is actually a web of reality and the powers that be strongly defended by the right." As well as the leader and minister Pecoraro Scanio Green believes that "things that are written are disturbing and if you are not able to disprove it, the situation is worthy of assistance from the chairmen of the House and Senate." "
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GIORGIO GALLI
THE PLOT VENERABLE
THE TRUE STORY OF P2 Licio Gelli

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" Twenty years later, in the Cold War ended, the left and right converge again in preference to a serious accountability, national and collective, download it now in the historical site, on other (Member U.S.) or on specific institutions and sector (services secrets, Freemasonry) the responsibility of the poor functioning of a political system (the so-called First Republic) in which party leaders have consistently misinterpreted and misapplied the pronouncements of the electorate.

Personally I have always tried to combine the study of the roles of political science that occult powers analysis does not result in a permanent conspiracy. The following pages are the continuation of this work. "Giorgio Galli

S ccording Galli, from its rebirth after the war, Freemasonry did not count anything in Italian politics, the less ambitions grew coup. The P2 seems to be no exception, if only for the presence among its ranks many of the elite representatives of industrial, financial, military and so on. But, in addition to many fanciful hypotheses never proved, and the P2 Licio Gelli, wonders Galli, are really the fault of the explanation of almost every national past? Really Gelli had the decisive role attributed to it? And there is evidence for this, if not conclusive, at least solid and reasonable? His analysis of political scientists and esotericism, all the facts, evidence, documents that the author collects, seem to demolish the myth of black Gelli, puppeteer hidden in the Republic, and P2 as a group of power left. If anything, it is clear that it acted as a lobby group concerned to defend the international position of Italy and its socio-economic system, taking away the Communist Party from power.

Giorgio Galli he was Professor of History of Political Thought at the University of Milan. Among his many works include: The decade Moro-Berlinguer. A re-reading current (2006); Enrico Mattei: Oil and conspiracy Italian (2005); Hitler and Nazism Magic (2005); Lead red. The complete history of popular struggle in Italy since 1970 (2005); The Italian political parties, (2004). Published by Edizioni Lindau The magic and power (2004).

How Much Olive Oil Should A Man Have

Linux, just windows!


Many will have heard of Linux, the operating system open source and free, because linux existed since 1991 (designed by Linus Torvalds), in short is not the latest operating system arrived.
So many people live in the preconception that Linux is difficle to use or you can not do all that is possbile to do with windows. In fact for many years is no longer so. Linux has become much more "user friendly" to windows, e su molti concetti più all'avanguardia!

Oltre ad essere gratuito, esiste tutto un set di programmi base gratuite che sostituiscono in tutto e per tutto i vari office, winamp, windows media player, internet explorer. ovviamente anch'essi gratuiti e aggiornati di coninuo.

Nessuno problema di compatibilità con le periferiche del computer, linux riconosce automaticamente qualsiasi periferiche, e comunque se la periferica non è riconosciuta sicuramente in pochi giorni uscirà un aggiornamento. L'installazione è semplicissima, anzi linux (in molte delle sue distro o distribuzioni) vi permette di esplorare e di usare il suo sistema operativo senza doverlo installare, basta infatti inserire il cd all'avvio computer and your Linux distribution will start in live mode. So you can try it without the commitment and make sure your linux of its simplicity and goodness

What makes Linux better than windows gratuicità the product (no small feat)?

Linux does not have bugs, hardly lead to fatal errors typical of those windows, it is safer and there are no viruses (or almost) that might damage.
The graphical interface is very simple, you have to arrangements which the famous multidesktop or more semi-independent desktop is very useful for those who work with several windows open (such as traders, always full of graphics that pop up from everywhere), in fact, thanks al multidesktop potrete disporle ognuna per ogni desktop e ritrovarle quindi con semplicità

Con semplici passagi potrete installare il desktop 3d (sempre gratuito), dove oltre a tanti effetti grafici di puro abbellimento troveremo molte funzioni utili, come l'autodisposizionamento delle finestre aperte (per fare un esempio).

Non riuscite a fare qualcosa? Non c'é problema in internet è pieno di comunità dove trovere guide semplici e forum disponibili a risolvere il vostro problema.

E se proprio vi serve quel programma che su linux non va, nessun problema potete installare l'emulatore di windows. Ah, non vi preoccupate di msn messenger, programmi di posta, skype, su linux c'é tutto e di more!

Also if you do not want to change all of a sudden you know that Linux operating system runs quietly side by side with windows (in stsso computer), when the computer simply choose the operating system you prefer, so you can go step by step!

What distro to choose?
I personally use Ubuntu, perhaps the most user friendly distro of the moment, with a great community behind it.
you can download or send by mail in a totally free cd from the official site: www.ubuntu-it.org/

on the same website you will get all the support nencessario.
Also be sure to visit the blog, where you will always find notizie e nozioni interessanti per poter personalizzare (grande caratteristica di linux) il vostro sistema operativo al meglio!

qualeche blog:
divilinux.wordpress.com/
tuxmax.blogspot.com/

e qua qualche video sulle potenzialità di linux:





ubuntu vs windows vista:

Bloody Cervical Mucus

Euro dollar, new highs?


Riprendiamo l'analisi di euro dollaro.
Rotto definitivamente il canale ribassista che ci aveva accompagnato per settimane, come avevamo scritto, sarebbe started an upward trend with a break of 1.3500 area. The movement was very strong, and this honestly did not expect, even if the volumes are declining, the cross was able to rise strongly.

In previous posts we had traced a bearish fuchsia trnedline dynamic passing through the highest recent (and historical) and parallel to other bearish trendline drawn in the past months. We are right next to this resistance, as well as maximum, and might try to catch a bounce from these levels. It 's a risky test because for now there are no signs of weakness, and the operation is completely against the trend. So for those who risk voelsse the stop loss is d'obbligo per non ritrovarsi ingabbiato nella continuazione di questo movuimento molto forte, forse anche un po' troppo forte.

Rimane l'idea di un laterale estivo proprio compreso tra queste trendline fucsia, ma appunto è solo una nostra idea scaturita da sensazione e non da anlisi, quindi da prendere con le pinze. se si dovesse mostrare valida vorrebbe dire che abbiamo avuto solo fortuna!

Qualcuno già indica area 1.400 come target, area non poi così lontana, ma noi sinceramente non crediamo a movimenti così diretti in questo cross, e quindi cerchiamo data la sensibilità dell'area di spostarci in timeframe più piccoli per capire lamdirezione o piuttosto ricavare spunti operativi.

Nelle ore night-time cross was lateralized, without retracing anything, the best thing in these cases and work on the breakout of the rectangle of lateralization. Working in trailing and closing the position if the cross were to break the rettangoloe quickly return to it: thus forming a trap. For multiday quindirimandiamo

operations in clearer signals. Of course, the breaking of the maximum could lead to a further extension, although we expect a first discesina, in fact, the cross should be a "flight" to romprere resistance so important.

stop loss in the hand and a lot of attention in these phases.

If Ur Testes Hurt Is This A Hernea

After a period of absence commitments because we're back here to try to create some ideas operating in the forex market. No, I was not under an umbrella in the Maldives, I only had to be done. I hope to keep until August a bi weekly update, but I assure you nothing, you stay tuned, something interesting always reads it ... then holiday in August last, where it is not known yet, the first plane left for some island and then a well-deserved rest!

But we take our analysis of the situation and make a ripilogo. We

Euro Dollar, that after taking the millimeter target indicated porrtandosi weeks ago, rebounded to the top of the bearish channel. Following the Dow Theory, from which we often take inspiration for our analysis, we say that the trend is still bearish, and it will be until we have a clean break on the upside of that channel. Admittedly, the cross has come to test the trendline strongly superior dynamics, we now look to rebound towards 1.3440 area and a further test of 1.3480. Consider instead the certificate above 1.5000 area as a signal of trend short order. We already stressed the possibility of a summer in the lateral area between 1.3600 and 1.3300, but for now riamne always the most likely scenario following the rules of the Old Testament, but there is truly like an obsession. It 'a scenario that does not help us now in the operation, so we rely current scenarios, which are best suited to get operational. For a short

expect the decision to cross back below 1.3420 area. Today will probably be weak and a day of adjustment, but by tomorrow we will have more opportunity to understand the direction of the trend!

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Euro Dollar Euro Dollar target achieved.


reached the third reported to target 1.3260.
Now that we have achieved our goals is necassario look again at the cross on a timeframe more and try to identify other possible scenarios, scenarios that typically cercanno confirmations from day to day.

It 'broke the bearish channel was dark green, the image that we removed for clarity, but that is still considered as a valid channel for an eventual return to it.

One thing that catches one's eye is the versatile and complete to stretch up to 61.8 Fibonacci retracement, which incidentally, passes right by the old part of a long-term bullish channel. It 's a very important support, but the test is not granted, even if its failure could crack the trend of medium / long term.
But we move on upcoming scenarios.
support that we are testing at this time Motl is important, in fact, pass on these different levels of support, a 25 period SMA, 50% Fibonacci, a static and a bearish trendline. In short, the numbers for a nice bounce there would be tutti. Consideriamo anche che la discesa di questa settimane si è verificata con volumi in diminuzione, e che si avvicina l'estate. Riproprioniamo quindi quello scenario laterale di cui abbiamo parlato nei post precedenti, movimenti che avrebbero come range le due linee fucsia. Ammetto che questo è uno scenario azzardato, nella situazione attuale è quello meno probabile, di fatto non possiamo cogliere segni evidente di un movimento del genere, tutta via non è privo di fondamenti; un laterale giustappunto ora quando non si sa se gli USA alzeranno i tassi ( poiché le attese del taglio tassi è stata momentaneamente smentita), mentre il prossimo rialzo tassi europeo è stato ampiamento scontato, quindi un clima di incertezza tipico di andamenti side.

Scenarios short, a break of support that we are testing now, there likely would lead to a test of support identified at the beginning of the post, in quibndi area around 1.3180, the other scenario is a brief pullback to 1.3370, we have confirmation of this 1.3300, and then passed to the return of the bearish channel visible on the daily (the green one of the last post, for instance). To confirm

scenarios average expect the breaks lievelli 1.3180 and 1.3370, breaks that will adequately compared with the trend of the cross and its movements, especially in smaller timeframes like daily and 4 hours.

reach the target right now we are out of the market, then we study the situation further to obtain the cleanest signal!

Remember the stop loss, and not intesterdirvi with a single scenario, so do not be surprised if they are denied!

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Euro Dollar, Yen Pounds



Euro Dollars discesone side after the close of last week.
The cross could stir during the afternoon with Paulson's speeches, Moskow, and Greenspan. What is more attention to the words of Greenspan, who may overreach on the decision about interest rates.
If the bearish channel was still visible on the daily observed this side would be interpreted as a dispersion, an idea reinforced by the fact that we are still within the channel and the reaction to the rise of Friday. Another interpretation is that of a side of consolidation, in which case we would expect even a false break to the upside of the side channel red, then finally pierce the bearish channel and go to the planned target around 1.3260.
The best thing in my opinion is to try to exploit the breaking of the side, with stop-loss is not too tight. Recalling that both the medium and short-term trend is bearish, so it is better to open a short position, as being in trend is less risky.
therefore await our signs, always stop loss in the hand and carefully.

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narrow side, which moves!


Appena apro bocca sembra che caschi il mondo. Il supporto in fase di test è stato sfondato e siamo arrivati a testare la parte bassa del canale segnalato...grandi brividi alla rottura...sembrava proprio il tanto temuto recupero dello yen, ma poi come solito fare si rientra all'interno della canalizzazione. Tanti stop presi nei mercati, una scrollata alle varie bolle economiche, ed ora?
Come già scritto mi aspetto nuovi massimi ancora, ma come al solito il consiglio è cercare di seguire il trend gradino per gradino, per adesso la discesa sembra concludersi in un nulla di fatto, anzi il rimbalzo è stato molto deciso e fa presupporre una grande resistenza da parte dei tori. Certo sarebbe meglio attendere ed osservare il comportamento di inizio settimana per prendere decisioni sul da farsi, dando un occhiata a timeframe più piccoli rispetto al daily. Un ritorno deciso sopra 240.00 confermerebbe l'ipotesi di nuovi massimi, ovviamente sempre pronti ad essere smentiti.
Quelli descritti sono solo scenari possbili per aiutarci a capire l'andamento del cross e ricavarne quindi una corretta operatività, armati sempre di stop loss.
Un ritorno sotto il supporto del canale darebbe segno di proseguimento discesa. C'é stata un esplosione di volatilità, ed è necessario qundi accertarsi che questa sia l'inizio di una fase ad alta volatilità, che necessita stop loss più larghi e molta ma molta più attenzione, oppure un evento circoscritto...giusto to shake the soul.
interesting week for this cross, starting with data already on that night, and focus attention on interest rates, that the yen should remain at 0.50%, but especially for the speech of the President of the BOJ Fukui, caprpire trying to conduct the next in terms of economic policy and interest rates in Japan.

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Pounds Yen, update!


was a bit 'which does not update the blog on this fantastic ... we were left to cross signals if it had broken new records are 240.00 and they did.

From a broader perspective to the cross seems to be weakening ... nevertheless I think that each way to go yet 247/249.00 area to.

E 'as important as usual, accompany the basic idea of \u200b\u200bco strategies and monitor the daily cross, but without being blinded by the erratic movements.
We tested an important support right now, someone has probably already entered long, but I think it would be to wait until the closing day. The channel

blue outlines quite well the situation, a weak upward trend with low volatility and the possibility of adopting strategies Swing.

Stop Loss at hand!

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Euro Dollar, which way do we go? Another collapse for China


In the forums there is talk of lowering the end cross euro dollar, even his friend Giovanni Solinas Blogger shows an interesting and beautiful analysis of the cross showing it looks over the descent.

As usual nothing is certain and will try to show an analysis that helps the reader understand the situation, it is not my intention and never will give trading signals, but rather to give indications of scenarios and to clarify things. Above

propose the old pipes that have accompanied us during these months, and it is right now and then see them again, also because they continue to do their dirty work, and are very helpful, in my view, to identify the points of the market most critical.

In the image I added the Fibonacci retracements, is a tool used by many traders to understand the most important levels during a period of retracement. We can see that the cross is bounced off the 38.2, just this rebound has led many traders to think of a resumption of the long trend.

then add the typical retracement (which statistically has the highest number of times, but that does not mean that is bound to happen) is 50%, who happens to pass prorpio intersection of two major trend line (I highlighted with the red square). This does not mean necessarily that we get to that level, but it certainly would be the most optimal support for an attack to try the latest if it lead to a disastrous split fall.

I personally consider the present a mere technical rebound of the descent, and absolutely I am not surprised, in fact it was waiting for a few days. Moreover, if we move on daily timeframe we find our famous green channel, which is accompanying us for several weeks in this descent, offering great ideas operational.


Let's see how the closing of yesterday's candle (which, as Max has gone beyond the upper trendline) is below the dynamic resistance. Serve a statement of the prices above for us to change your mind for a long scenario. Let's say then that as long as we remain
below this resistance the more likely scenario is the one di andare a trovare il nostro supporto in area 1.3270.
Che se ci pensiamo bene non è niente di così sconvolgente, anzi è del tutto normale avere una buona discesa dopo una lunga salita.

In una visione a più ampio termine studiando il comportamento passato del cross, vediamo come questo solitamente dopo il raggiungimento di un nuovo massimo stia sempre facendo un range laterale compreso tra il nuovo massimo ed il precedente circa. Possiamo inoltre aiutarci tracciando una nuova trendline fucsia parallela a quelle già tracciate, passante per il nuovo massimo. Ed avere un nuovo punto di riferimeto.

Dal punto di vista fondamentale vediamo l'Eurozona ancora forte, ma come abbiamo già sottolineato molti politici europei e nostrani puntano già il dito su un euro sopravvalutato, vedi sarkozy, che al G8 probabilmente si farà sentire.
Mentre il mercato credo abbia già scontato ampliamente il prossimo rialzo tassi (che sembra dovuto) ci troviamo di fronte a nuovi problemi. E' stata acclamato il dato sulle importazioni ed esportazioni. Le spese delle importazioni soprattutto sono diminuiti, per renderci poi conto che questo è dovuto alla grande aumento dell'importazione Cinese a discapito di altri paesi. La Cina lo sappiamo benissimo che trattieni lo Yuan sottovalutato...ma cosa succede nel momento in cui, sotto le pressioni Americane, dovrà alzarlo? Semplicemnte scopriremo che l'Economia Europea non è cresciuta per il suo solo merito.

then add this NEWS is not of little relevance:

June 5 2007 22: 10 NEW YORK (WSI

Intevenuto at a conference in South Africa, the Federal Reserve chairman, Ben Bernanke, was disappointed those who expected a mention of a possible cut in interest rates, appearing confident about economic growth and worried about a possible acceleration of the upward inflationary pressures.

The speech, which has in fact added little to what emerged from the minutes of the Fed published last week, has reduced the possibility 'of a reduction in the cost of money by the end of the year, raising even the hypothesis of a possible upward revision in interest rates which, remember, are stable at 5.25% since August.

To reinforce this argument and 'was also an update on the service sector, jumped to the highest levels of a year, more than economists' expectations.

So be careful when we talk about scatafascio the United States, because Europe seems a bit 'overrated. The games are always very political and economic purposes, and many times we poor mortals (especially me) you will miss it. And then antennae up and we are alert.

monitor the market every day and try to follow him without illusions created us!

Stop loss in hand and good gain.

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were saying that there were signs for the beautiful transfers. Is working hard to make the Shanghai composite attualemnte that is experiencing a -9.35%. They hold instead

the remaining Asian markets, which seem not to worry about the collapse of China.

await the opening of EU and U.S., and we are alert, we can not know what the reactions.

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Euro Swiss Franc.


Since the blogger friends pass me the ball, and the topic is certainly of interest to me propose a cross analysis of the euro / Swiss franc.

premise that I've never worked on this cross and is the second time I see his chart, the first ever for an analysis of readers for friends, then call for caution twice.

first we make a quick basic idea.
Surely we shall have the Swiss currency devaluation (of course, always to a certain point), it helps in considerable input of foreign capital.

Secondly, recently the President of the Swiss central bank Roth has spoken in reference to the relationship euro Swiss franc, and claimed to be very careful in this report, for concern about inflation caused by currency weakness.
For now Roth will not intervene in support, but made it clear that in the absence of Alternat the SNB will take steps to slow the descent.

said that we can say that the euro is retracing and is mildly weakening ... but we talk about a weakening of its physiologic market, in fact, European data continue to be positive and encourage the long-term trend of strengthening of the currency.

say then it seems that the cross should be (as it is doing) a physiological transfer, but for the long term we still see signs of good bull.

for warriors comes to us:
------------------------------------------------- ---

WARSAW, May 30 (Reuters) - Prime Minister Romano Prodi did not rule out that at the next G8 summit to be held shortly in Germany to address the problem of overvaluation of the euro.

"I do not exclude that it also speaks of this topic. There is a concern shared by many countries on the revaluation of the euro against other moente," Prodi said in Warsaw during a press conference.

"The agenda of the G8 is usually free, the benefit of the G8 is to have cards and a predetermined number of topics that could be deployed," he added.

------------------------------------------------- -----------
In the graph we can see how it was broken the support of the short term, this leads us to think of a test of the moving average in red. In all other devices. Important area 1.63xx!


Good trading and stop loss at hand.

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Euro Yen analysis at night.


Logbook 23.30.

excellent day today, the markets yesterday after the calm began to awaken. We had predicted it would be a hot week for the markets, but is still cool climate.

There were beautiful movements, some unexpected, in many crosses, and frankly it looks more.

Maybe I'm a bit 'but pedantic about € yen non riesco a dormire, questo laterale, come tutti i laterali, mi strugge, è come la quiete prima di un fortunale. A noi Marinai di fortuna piace cavalcare i cavalloni, quelli grossi che fanno ribollire il sangue...quelli che infrangono le galere sugli scogli.

E mi sento un po' come un surfista che aspetta l'onda giusta per la gran parte del tempo.

Quasi ci stavo per cadere oggi, mi sono detto, guarda che questo cross mi ha fregato, altro che short, qua un altra grande onda toro da prendere...ma non ci sono riuscito ho deciso di aspettare la chiusura della giornata, e alla fine non mi è andata tanto male. Ci troviamo con una bella Doji, una di quelle a forme di croce...la croce del laterale che tormenta noi Trend Boy. E side because they rend my mind with stupid thoughts I prefer to add some indicator, so just to see what comes out.

Then add a CCI (one of many oscillators ... I think one or the other) and a bit 'of moving averages.

The ICC indicates to us a clear bearish divergence, then add a point in favor of my idea of \u200b\u200bthe dispersed phase of the market (bear phase before then).

Moving averages still mark a long trend, and here no one says the opposite, however, to note how they are tightening, and rightly so of course, we are side by force of circumstances the moving average approach ... we can not extrapolate an intersection, and then, by this point of view the moving averages do not give us a hand. However, we can use them to further watershed in nsotra operation. The best support in my view, however, remains that of the bullish channel, and the dynamic red.

pulling two sums, after all this talk we say that technical analysis is a second elemnto more we talk about a possible transfer (from which I would also be inclined to return to long), but the confirmation would come only from the break of support which could be very violent (typical of the yen).

For now my advice is to monitor the cross and play scalping, thus deceiving the wait to ride the big wave. Scalping, and operations Fast also against the trend, take and take home.

in the image below for a possible count elliot HyperTrader (thanks) is being signaled a possible five wave that would reach a new increase. Just to provide different views (even though mine is more than that of short-and medium-term hyper).

Cooler Weather Cancun

Euro Yen undecided.


eventful week in view. Fasten your seatbelts.
Week starts, mostly to Japan, mainland Europe in midweek and weekend United states. We expect about 80
data this week and then we will see some good. The majority of cross
Last week it was congested, and are therefore likely development of interesting trends.

Last week we talked about Euro and Yen have shown how weak it seemed uphill. We see here as there have been no new highs, but we can also see how the bounces on the media have been important. At this point the best thing is to play the breakout shown on the trendline.

My thought is always to bear this cross (but psarticolare bullish for the yen), just making the points made in previous post.

did attempt to follow the signals and trends without being too influenced by our thought / desire.

Movements are very technical and the cross is enclosed in a well-defined range, then we hope that the old story does not change, in fact we are aided by these movements clean. Resistance and support than almost to the millimeter.

In the case of descent, then after the completion of the support dynamic rupture, we laid out some targets, but that its longitudinal axis should be the blue, better still take home the tred slowly develops and maybe make up for revenue short rebounds , helping with some moving average trend during the very helpful in understanding the pullback!

stop loss in hand as always.

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Euro dollar, the base of the bearish channel


Euro dollar has led finally to the base of channel, where he bounced a millimeter, it shows the goodness of the trendline, and therefore the account by the market and its sensitivity.
I floated the idea of \u200b\u200ba flase rupture that leads us to test 1.3400, since we are very close and we were first reported as a papal candidate target.
The movements are very low, we perciorredno a period of low volatility, then we can be calm and wait for events. Now a small settlement, after which we will decide whether to go long at this level to be lower. Always stop
Loss in hand!

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Euro Yen Yen


Cross back on top.

On Friday, the usual tricks of the yen to stop the hunting of us poor trader. A spike of monstrous proportions, I believe that many have been fooled by these movements against. But this is the market.

The underlying trend (bullish) is showing weakness, and the trend seems increasingly that of a parabolic trend. The momentum is falling, and sincerely believe that the greatest are not far away. In previous posts I pointed out to target 164.60, and the idea that I had done is slowly confirming.

understand properly the meaning of my words, the situation is more or less of the euro dollar in recent weeks, we are beginning to perceive signs of weakness del trend, ritracciamenti più frequenti, trend meno marcato, nonostante ciò il trend rimane al rialzo, ma intanto noi tiriamo su le antenne per non essere colti di sorpresa.

Seguiamo attentamente il cross e appuntiamo sia i segnali di forza che di debolezza.

Stop loss alla mano.

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Aggiornamento anche sulla situazione Euro Yen, avevamo previsto nuovi massimi nel caso in cui i supporti individuati nei timeframe minori avessero retto. Abbiamo avuto, quindi, due rotture al ribasso dei supporti dinamici individuati, sia nel timeframe orario, sia nel timeframe daily. Tutto accompagnato da ampi movimenti.
Come il cugino Pounds Yen, anche Euro Yen si è portato sopra un livello di sicurezza, effettuando pullback dopo la discesa.
Siamo arrivati a toccare il 61,8% ritracciamento fibonacci, che è un livello molto osservato dai trader, lo si può notare anche dal rimbalzo a cui abbiamo assistito.

La statica rossa tratteggiata fa da sparti acque, e a seconda dei comportamenti che avremo in settimana decideremo se entrare short o long.
Un ritorno con decisione al di sotto della suddetta statica (e con conferma rottura del minimo recente) ci porta a pensare ad un primo obiettivo intorno ad area 159.70 circa, un supporto molto importante.

Mentre un movimento deciso verso l'alto ci porterebbe ai test dai massimi, al di sopra dei quali ci sarebbe strada aperta per il continuamento the climb.

Other important support and resistance areas around 162.00 and 163.00.

The underlying trend remains long, so you must act with extreme caution during this retrace, not to get stuck with hasty decisions. Look carefully at the evolution of the situation.

Always stop loss in hand, and the large eye movements.

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Euro Pounds Yen pullback?


We had indicated the dynamic blue as the goal of breaking down congestion.
The goal has been reached and even surpassed, perhaps a nice stop hunting of bulls.
Now, however, was not made to wait for the blue recover on the dynamics, where currently stationed on a cross. The volatility is rising and we expect other good movements, monitor the dynamics of blue that is a watershed, from which it is possbile to draw ideas operational.

In the short term seems to cross the marked downward, but we do not fool too, is accustomed to large retracements of the yen. Consider then the descent (and a possible continuation) in the norm. A return of the blue cross under the dynamic (confirming the recent breakout of the low) leads us to think about the first goal in the area around 235.00/50. While a return

area above 239.00 would bring us back to a test of superior strength, inotrno to 240.00 area above this level to open fields the maximum.

High volatility coming, then great care to place the stop loss, but let's not forget and move to implement a trailing stop to follow the best trends that emerge in the coming days.

hot days Wednesday and Thursday.

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€ Dollar, Euro Dollar



You read a lot of considerations with respect to its performance on forums and magazines, but all seem to confuse the various influences of data and changes compared to the time factor, it's just not confuse
the influence of data for the long and short term.

Yesterday the U.S. trade balance has confirmed the steady increase of the debt.
In the case of a trade balance that continues to strengthen its debt for years and years is all already discounted by the market ... everyone is convinced that it will continue to fall, and this will therefore have more influence in the long run and a few quick reactions.

The reaction in the near future there would be if the trade balance had recovered a few billion in debt .. then we ensure that it was unexpected. Now it falls schematic

1 billion or 10 are not surprised anyone, then we will have little influence in the short term, but a confirmation of long-Circulation.

To see a reversal of long to go much, much more below the channel can be traced for long-term very large (see old post), and until this is breached, the situation certainly not downward changes. Also with an eye to economy, geopolitics, etc. ... the situation of the dollar does not seem the most prosperous, as we have said several times.

Reached static area as an area of \u200b\u200b1.3700 previous highs it was natural to expect a reversal of the short, medium ... that was not only logical to expect but Reano confirmed by the side of dispersive order, as we described at the time.


is also characteristic of this cross (at least in the last two attaches, but also in the coming years will be, thanks to the economic and political situation) does not get marked trend (as potrbbe essere per i cross con lo yen o cmq con influenze dei carry trader), ma piuttosto oscillanti.

Dollaro troppo debole non fa piacere a nessuno...o cmq un dollaro debole in breve tempo...non fa piacere alla cina, non fa piacere al giappone ed a parecchi altri stati...vedere le proprie riserve monetarie (anche se stanno diversificando la maggioranza delle riserve monetarie mondiali è in dollari) svanire non è il massimo.
L'eruo è troppo forte, notare come il nuovo presidente francese, Sarkozy, abbia subito espresso la sua opinione a riguardo...c'é quindi da aspettarsi che combatterà strenuamente per un euro più debole...se no a chi esportiamo?

Inoltre se pensiamo che il petrolio (Except for wars etc. ..) seems destined to oscillate between a band of $ 70 and 50/45 dollars, and having touched his recentemte the top, we see that all urged a strengthening of the dollar.

Euro U.S. dollar falls within a well defined channel bearish short, we are now in the vicinity of the base support. If we want to keep an eye on an important relationship we move on gold. The gold in the long term (just like the euro dollar) is set to rise is now based on the channel. Any failure could affect a lot of dollar and euro on cross carry it to new lows, while observing that the bearish scenario for several days, is profiled.


In final point of the current euro dollar seems like a good cross
support for a bounce or a restart. Then wait until it is convenient to observe the behavior of the cross during the U.S. data.